“Trump leads briefly during the vote counting period, and claims victory. He goes on to lose in both the popular vote and electoral. He tries his options via the Supreme Court, but realizes he doesn’t have any. He resolves to try and motivate his base to act by claiming that the voting was rigged. There is chaos in the streets for days, with a sub-par effort by the police. However, once the initial wave subsides, Trump and his supporters resign to their fate….”
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“In most countries, predicting election outcomes is the job of pollsters. In Israel, a newspaper closely aligned with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu chose to consult a different cohort on the question of Donald Trump versus Joe Biden: astrologists, numerologists, and palm readers. Their unanimous projection was not exactly a surprise given Netanyahu’s close ties to Trump: The U.S. president will win a second term, according to the mystics, though only after a prolonged fight…”
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“The presidential election is just two days away and the stock market has locked-in its prediction, according to one indicator. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell 0.04% between July 31 and October 31. That means the market forecasts — by a hair — that Joe Biden will win, according to CFRA Research’s Presidential Predictor.The stock market has a fairly reliable track record: Since World War II, when the S&P 500 fell in the three months leading up to the November vote during a presidential election year, the incumbent president or party of the outgoing president has lost the election 88% of the time….”
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